This is hurricane Adrian in the East Pacific as of 15:15 CDT.
Adrian as a Category 3 storm 6.9.11 20:15 GMT
I always did like the visible images of these powerful storms. There’s so much organization and near-craft work involved with these things. The official forecast discussion for this storm mentions that it will likely not strengthen much more and will weaken once it hits a more stable mass of air and cooler waters to its north.
THE HURRICANE HAS THE OPPORTUNITY TO STRENGTHEN A LITTLE MORE... BUT SINCE ADRIAN IS BECOMING ANNULAR...IT WILL PROBABLY FLUCTUATE LITTLE IN INTENSITY AND WILL NOT WEAKEN UNTIL THE CIRCULATION BECOMES WELL EMBEDDED WITHIN STABLE AIR AND COOLER WATERS IN A COUPLE OF DAYS. -FORECASTER AVILA
Furthermore, the storm will likely not impact interests in Mexico and is expected to maintain its current trajectory out to sea.
THE RELIABLE NUMERICAL GUIDANCE HAS NOT CHANGED SIGNIFICANTLY FROM EARLIER RUNS AND CONTINUES TO CALL FOR A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK AWAY FROM THE COAST OF MEXICO. -FORECASTER AVILA
Given how quickly Adrian grew to be a category 3 storm, < 72 hours from its initiation as tropical depression ONE, I suspect that future storms may also be capable of performing the same feat. We'll have to keep an eye on the tropics this summer especially as the season progresses and the seas get warmer.
Keep in mind though that it takes more than hot water to build a hurricane. You need other factors to be playing their notes right as well such as wind shear, dust content , relative humidity and neighboring air masses (Protip: The Saharan Air Layer can play an important role as far as these go.) We'll see how this season plays out, it might be rough given the estimates, or it might be pretty tame but that matter is all relative, especially when its your house that just got knocked over.
Oh, here’s something to read on the effect the SAL has on the Atlantic basin if you’re interested: The Impact of the Saharan Air Layer on Tropical Cyclone Activity
